Occupational Health - Public Health Poster Session
Abstract
Introduction
Materials & Methods
Results
Discussion & Conclusion
References
Discussion Board
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Sleep Deficit, Fatal Accidents, and the Spring Shift to Daylight Savings Time
Contact Person: Stanley Coren (scoren@cortex.psych.ubc.ca)
Introduction
Recent data suggests that insufficient sleep and disrupted
circadian rhythms contribute to major public health problems. For
example, the U.S. National Commission on Sleep Disorders
commissioned a study to determine the direct cost of accidents
which result from sleep debt (Leger, 1997). The results were
staggering. In the test year (1988) in the United States, the cost
of motor vehicle accidents caused by sleepy drivers was $37.9
billion. Sleep debt related accidents in the public transportation
accidents cost $720 million dollars. Work-related accidents caused
by sleepiness added up to $13.4 billion. Falls and other accidents
in public places that are directly due to sleepiness came to $1.3
billion. Finally, accidents around the home due to sleep debt
resulted in a cost of $2.7 billion. The grand total came to over 56
billion dollars.
Beyond the monetary losses, the human cost of sleep related
accidents is also astonishing. The year 1988 saw a total of 24,318
deaths from accidents related to sleepiness. There were also
2,474,430 disabling injuries resulting from accidents where the
decreased mental efficiency and attentiveness due to sleep loss was
the major underlying factor. Injuries in the work place due to
sleep debt resulted in the loss of 29,250,000 work days, with
13,650,000 days lost directly due to the accident itself, while
15,600,000 days were lost due to complications and long term
effects of the accident within the first year. Accidents outside
the work place, took a toll of 23,400,000 work days lost. This
means that in one year, 52,650,000 work days were missed from work
plus non-work related accidents which all occurred because of too
little sleep.
Sleep deficit has also been implicated in many major public
catastrophes (Mitler, Carskadon, Czeisler, Dement, Dinges, &
Graeber, 1988). Coren (1996a) has reviewed data suggesting that the
oil spill of the Exxon Valdez, the destruction of the space shuttle
Challenger, the nuclear accident at Chernobyl (which cost over
50,000 lives) and the near nuclear accidents at the Three Mile
Island and Peach Bottom reactors, were all associated with sleep
deficits on the part of personnel involved.
The average young adult, today, reports sleeping about 7 to 7«
hours each night. When we compare this to sleep patterns in 1910,
before Edison's modern coiled tungsten filament light bulb, was
introduced, we find that the average person slept 9 hours each
night. This means that today's population sleeps 1« to 2 hours less
than people did early in the century (Webb & Agnew, 1975). Based
upon data like this, some researchers have claimed that society is
chronically sleep deprived, and even small additional reductions in
sleep time may have consequences for safety (see Coren, 1996a for
a review). Coren (1996b) apparently confirmed this by showing that
the shift to Daylight Savings Time (DST) had an impact on accident
rates. The spring shift to daylight savings time results in a loss
of one hour of sleep while the fall shift provides an additional
hour which can be used for sleep. Using data from two years of
Canadian traffic accident records, he found that on the Monday
following the shift to DST in the spring, there was an increase in
traffic accident rates of about 7 percent, while in the fall there
was a decrease in accident rate of about the same magnitude.
Coren (1996c) attempted to confirm this finding using
accidents other than those associated with vehicle operation. He
did this by looking at every accidental death in the US reported to
the National Center for Health Statistics for the years 1986
through 1988. Since over 80% of accident induced mortality occurs
within 4 days of the accident, data for analysis was restricted to
the first 4 workdays in the weeks preceding, immediately following,
and one week after, the DST change. While he found a significant
increase in deaths following the spring shift (6.6%) he could not
confirm the fall rebound, which only showed a nonsignificant (1.5%)
decrease. Other studies that have used traffic accidents have found
the increase following the spring shift to DST but have also failed
to find any decrease following the fall time change (e.g. and
Hicks, Lindseth & Hawkins, 1983; Monk, 1980).
If we accept the fact that there there is a spring increase in
accidents and no corresponding fall decrease in accidents following
the DST shift, sleep deficit may still explain such results. The
reasoning is that work schedules enforce the loss of sleep
following the spring DST shift while it is possible that many
people may not take advantage of the additional hour in the fall to
extend their sleep. However, explanations, not involving sleep, are
also possible. For instance, following the spring DST shift people
must drive to work under lower levels of illumination resulting in
reduced visibility of road conditions and other vehicles.
Alternatively, people may simply forget the DST time change, and
may not adjust their clocks. These people then find find themselves
late for work on Monday morning and may end up driving with
reckless haste as a result. To test these possibilities the
following study was conducted.
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Materials and Methods
The data were drawn from the Fatal Accident Reporting System,
which is maintained by the U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration and the National Center for Statistics and Analysis.
This data base maintains full records on all traffic accidents in
the U.S. that result in fatalities in the participating states.
Thirty-three states participate in this data base fully, and
several additiona states provide partial information. Most
importantly for this research, data is coded by the date of
accident (not the date of the fatality) and further information is
given about the actual time of day that the accident occured. The
data set available to this researcher went from 1986 through August
1995. There were a total of 366,910 traffic deaths during that
period.
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Results
The first issue to address is whether there are any
differences in fatal accident rates following the shift to DST. The
simplest and most sensitive measure which will address this
question involves cumulating the traffic deaths over the full 10
year period. Next we compare the total of traffic fatalities for
the Monday immediately following the DST shift with the pooled
frequency of accidents for the previous and following Mondays. The
spring DST shift (where one hour of sleep is lost) shows the
expected increase in accidents with relative risk (RR) of 1.17 [95%
CI=1.07/1.29, þ2(1)=10.83, p < 0.001]. This 17
percent increase is larger than that observed in previous studies.
The same analysis conducted for the fall DST shift, however,
produces an insignificant reduction in traffic deaths [RR=0.97, 95%
CI=0.89/1.07, þ2(1)=0.29, ns.].
Given that the main effect of DST on accident rates was found,
we can now address the issue of whether the obtained pattern of
data is more consistent with the sleep loss hypothesis or the
alternative set of hypotheses involving careless driving because
people are dashing to work because they are late, or reduced
morning illumination levels. This question can be answered because
this data base includes the time of the episodes resulting in the
fatality. Both the reduced light level and rushing to work
explanations for the spring increase in accidents following the DST
shift should involve incidents that occur early in the day. If
sleep deficit is the cause, then the effects of sleep loss should
increase as the day wears on, becoming more obvious later in the
day. This means that the hypostheses can be simply tested by
partitioning the day into early (arbitraily defined as before noon)
and late (after noon). Obviously the comparison groups are the
pooled accident frequencies for the Mondays preceeding and
following limited to the same time periods. When we test these
differences we find that the change in accident rates for the early
half of the day following the shift to DST is not statistically
significant [RR=1.07, 95% CI=0.92/1.24, þ2(1)=0.75,
ns.]. The increase in traffic fatalities in the later half of the
day (where the effects of sleep should have their greatest impact)
however, is statistically reliable [RR=1.13, 95% CI=1.01-1.28,
þ2(1)=3.89, p < 0.05].
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Discussion and Conclusion
Two major points are made by these data. The first is a
confirmation of the fact that following the spring shift to
Daylight Savings Time (when one hour of sleep is lost) there is a
measureable increase in the number of traffic accidents that result
in fatalies. Furthermore, it replicates the absence of any
"rebound" reduction of accidents following the fall shift to DST
(when the opportunity is present for an additional hour of sleep).
Of the two competing hypotheses for this increase in
accidents, namely the one that suggests that it is the increased
sleep deficit that causes the change in accident rate, versus
notions based upon reduced illumination levels when driving to
work, or suppositions that people forget the DST time change, fail
to adjust their clocks, and find themselves rushing to work to
avoid being late, the sleep hypothesis seems to be the most
tenable. Hypotheses based upon haste and dim morning light both
predict the bulk of the increased accidents to be confined to the
morning hours. The sleep loss hypothesis would predict that
individuals become more tired as the day wears on and hence the
bulk of the accidents will appear later in the day. It is, of
course, this latter pattern which appears with most of the accident
fatality increase confined to the period after noon.
If the sleep loss hypothesis is correct, then why isn't there
a reduction in the number of traffic accidents in the fall, when
the shift back to standard time provides an extra hour for sleep.
Although this was the pattern observed in one study (Coren, 1996b)
it has not replicated in other studies. The failure of the "safety
rebound" may simply have to do with human nature. Just because a
person has the opportunity to sleep for an addition hour does not
mean that people actually will go to sleep on time. Many may spend
that extra hour socializing or watching television. In some
instances, where individuals do go to bed at the appropriate time,
their usual circadian rhythm may still wake them after 7 or 8 hours
in response internal signals or the external morning increase in
illumination. Contrast this to what happens in the spring, where an
individual's work schedule will enforce the person's awakening on
the new DST time in order to meet job committments.
Taken together then, these data are consistent with the
hypothesis that as a society were are sufficiently chronically
sleep deprived so that a small decrease in sleep duration, such as
that which occurs with the spring shift to DST, can significantly
increase accident susceptibility.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
This research was supported in part by grants from the Natural
Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada.
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References
Coren, S. (1996a). Sleep Thieves. New York: Free Press.
Coren, S. (1996b). Daylight savings time and traffic accidents.
New England Journal of Medicine, 334, 924.
Coren S. (1996c). Accidental death and the shift to daylight
savings time. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 83, 921-922.
Hicks, R.A., Lindseth, K., & Hawkins, J. (1983). Daylight
savings-time changes increase traffic accidents. Perceptual and
Motor Skills, 56, 64-66.
Leger D (1994). The cost of sleep-related accidents: A report for
the National Commission on Sleep Disorders Research. Sleep, 17,
84-93.
Mitler, M.M, Carskadon, M.A, Czeisler, C.A, Dement, W.C, Dinges,
D.F, Graeber, R.C. (1988). Catastrophes, sleep, and public
policy: Consensus report. Sleep, 11, 100-109.
Monk, T.H. (1980). Traffic accident increases as a possible
indicant of desynchronosis. Chronobiologia, 7, 527-529.
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